Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Contract YES Price Drops 35pp Despite $9K Whale Net Buys
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 35pp decline in odds for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July on Polymarket, highlighting conflicting signals.
Jul 17
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Trump Speech Length Market Jumps 86.6pp to 99.1% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp price surge as odds for Trump’s speech length between 25-30 minutes near certainty.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 34pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract on Iran military action against a Gulf State dropped from 65.5% to 31.5% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Market YES Price Drops 45.2pp Despite $13K Whale Buying
Whale purchases diverged from a sharp 45.2 percentage point decline in Max Martin wedding attendance odds on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Odds Jump 22.5 Points with Whale Support
Bitcoin dip market on Polymarket surged from 60.5% to 83.0% as whales added $9K net into YES contracts.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot’s odds for best Chinese AI model by July 2026 jump 24.9 points on Polymarket
Whales increased their YES bets by $5K as market probability surged from 31.5% to 56.4% in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot AI Market YES Price Jumps 20.7 Points With $5K Whale Support
Whales added $5K net to YES as the probability for Moonshot leading Chinese AI by July 2026 rose sharply to 52.4%.
Jul 17
Breaking
Trump Speech Length Market Jumps 82.5 Points to 93.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in odds for Trump’s speech lasting 25 to 30 minutes, confirming the rapid market repricing.
Jul 17
Breaking
Apple’s odds to be largest company by July 31 jump 20.9 pp to 34.9%
Whales backed the surge with $7K net buys, aligning with a sharp market revaluation in the last 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA Market Cap Odds Drop 21pp Despite $29K Whale Buying
Whale activity diverged from price as the market slashed NVIDIA’s chance to be largest company by July 31.
Jul 17