Breaking
Odds that Russia and Ukraine will meet diplomatically by July 31, 2026, drop 23.5 pp to 34.5%
Whale buying diverged from falling prices as the market sharply lowered the chance of a diplomatic meeting.
Jul 17
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 dip odds jump 28.3 pp as whales back YES with $20K net flow
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price surge, lifting Bitcoin dip odds to 87.8% on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA second-largest market cap odds jump 23.5 pp to 39% as whales back YES
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in YES price, signaling growing conviction in NVIDIA’s market cap rise by July 31.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $1,800 July dip odds surge 27.5 points to 93% on Polymarket
Whales backed the sharp rally in the 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?' market with $6K net buying over 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding? YES price plunges 56.1pp despite $11K whale inflow
Whale buying of $11K into YES contracts contrasts sharply with the 56.1 percentage point drop in odds over 24 hours, signaling market disagreement on Max Martin’s attendance.
Jul 17
Breaking
Hanwha Life Esports’ win odds collapse 32.5 pp despite $18K whale buy flow
Whales bought $24K in YES contracts even as market price plunged from 32.5% to 0% in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 85pp despite whale buying
Whale activity diverged from sharp market sell-off in SpaceX launch contract, signaling conflicting sentiment.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?” YES price drops 24pp amid whale flow divergence
The YES contract fell sharply from 32.5% to 8.5% while whale bets did not support the decline, signaling mixed market signals.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds plunge 53.9pp while whales buy $11K on Polymarket
Whale trading diverged from sharp price drop, signaling conflicting views on Max Martin’s presence at Taylor Swift’s wedding.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA market cap odds drop 18pp to 63.5% despite $46K whale bets
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 18pp decline in NVIDIA's Polymarket odds over 24 hours.
Jul 17