Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi Exit Odds Rise 15.3 Points to 34.2% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 15.3 pp increase in the probability that Syrskyi will be out by July 31, 2026.
Jul 18
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 Dip Odds Drop 18.4 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
Despite whales buying $16K in YES contracts, Polymarket prices the chance of a July dip lower from 87.0% to 68.5%.
Jul 18
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone’s Nominee Odds Surge 54.1 Points on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour jump in YES price to 66% for South Carolina Senate primary.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price drops 27.5pp despite $11K whale inflow
Whale buying diverges from a sharp 27.5 percentage point decline in YES price over 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 18
Breaking
Databricks $180B valuation odds plunge 26.7pp despite $3K whale buy-in
Whales increased YES positions by $3K while market odds dropped sharply from 73.6% to 46.9% in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Cook Islands Party’s odds jump 30.5 points to 80.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and market prices moved in sync to sharply boost confidence in the Cook Islands Party’s 2026 election prospects.
Jul 18
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Jump 17pp to 83.5% as Whale Flow Matches Rally
Polymarket’s Bitcoin price target market saw YES probabilities surge alongside aligned whale activity, signaling strong conviction in July’s $65,000 milestone.
Jul 18
Breaking
Databricks $180B Valuation Odds Drop 29.3 Points Despite $3K Whale Support
Whale buying of $3K into YES contracts contrasts with a sharp 29.3 pp decline in market odds on Databricks' valuation target.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES Price Drops 23.5 Points Despite Whale Buying
YES contract price fell from 70.5% to 47.0% while whales added $11K net into YES, signaling a price-flow divergence.
Jul 18
Breaking
Claude Opus July 24, 2026 Release Odds Jump 15.5 Points Amid Whale Support
Whales contributed $1K net buying as the market price for Claude Opus release rose from 62.5% to 78.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 18