Breaking
“Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?” YES price jumps 32.5 points to 95.5%
Whales added $6K net to YES as Polymarket’s odds surged from 63.0% to 95.5% within 24 hours
Jul 18
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Tamas Sulyok ouster odds jump 18.4 points to 99.9% on Polymarket
Whales pushed $16K into YES as market repriced sharply from 81.5% to near certainty in 24 hours
Jul 18
Whales
$273K Buy on Strait of Hormuz Normalization Defies 0.05% Market Odds
@elmcap2 places $273K bet on a longshot outcome in a $11.56M Polymarket event with 85.6% accuracy record.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for Oleksandr Syrskyi’s Exit as Ukraine Commander Surge 19.1 pp to 28.4%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 19.1 percentage point jump in the market on Syrskyi’s potential removal by July 31, 2026.
Jul 18
Breaking
David Crowley’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor Primary Odds Jump 19.4 Points on Polymarket
Whales backed the surge with $5K net buys as the YES price rose from 7.4% to 26.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Ralph Norman Nomination Odds Jump 17pp to 23.5% on Polymarket Backed by $4K Whale Buys
Whales and traders pushed the YES price from 6.5% to 23.5% with $8K whale buy volume matching the sharp repricing.
Jul 18
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds jump 35.3 pp to 59% with whale buying
Polymarket’s “Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” market surged as whales boosted YES bets by $4K amid $11K total volume.
Jul 18
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi Exit Odds Surge 20.5pp to 57% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price action aligned as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of Syrskyi leaving Ukraine's top military post by end of 2026.
Jul 18
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone’s South Carolina Senate nomination odds jump 27.8pp to 54.8%
Whale activity and price action aligned as market sharply repriced Nordone’s chances over 24 hours
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for ‘Like a Prayer’ as Madonna’s First 2026 World Cup Song Drop 20.5pp in 24h
Whale trading diverged sharply from the price drop in the Madonna halftime show market, signaling conflicting sentiment.
Jul 18