Breaking
Polymarket YES price on US halting Iran offensive drops 30.5 pp to 10.5%
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as market sentiment swung against a US halt by July 24
Jul 19
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds tumble 35pp despite $5K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 35.0 pp drop in Polymarket’s Iran Gulf military action market.
Jul 19
Breaking
Odds for French Top Goalscorer at 2026 World Cup Jump 51pp to 92.5%
Whale buying aligned with sharp price surge, pushing the market close to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 40pp despite $5K whale buying
Whales bought into the YES side even as market price dropped sharply from 66.5% to 26.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe’s top scorer odds jump 52pp to 93.5% as whales back the surge
Whales pumped $541K into YES contracts within a $1.14M 24-hour volume, driving a dramatic repricing on Polymarket.
Jul 19
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds jump 16.5 points to 61.6% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with price surge as market shifts sharply on Alibaba's AI prospects
Jul 19
Breaking
‘Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?’ YES price jumps 24.8 pp to 99.2%
Whales backed the sharp rise with $18K net inflow into YES contracts amid $44K total daily volume.
Jul 19
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Market Surges 24.5 Points as Whales Push YES to 56.5%
Whale traders backed the rally in the Polymarket contract on Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding, driving a sharp rise in odds.
Jul 19
Breaking
Polymarket’s Iran Offensive Halt Market Drops 41.5 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
The probability for US halting Iran offensive operations by July 24 fell sharply despite whale activity opposing the price move.
Jul 19
Breaking
Israel-Iran ceasefire odds drop 22.5 pp to 39% despite whale selling
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as market pared back expectations for ceasefire continuation through July 31.
Jul 19