Breaking
Alibaba AI model market jumps 23.4 points to 69.4% on whale buying
Whales drove a $7K net inflow into the Alibaba AI model market as odds surged from 46.0% to 69.4%.
Jul 19
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Mbappe Top Scorer Odds Surge 50pp to 92.5% on Whale Buying
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 50 percentage point jump in Mbappe top scorer odds, driving heavy volume in the 24 hours to July 19.
Jul 19
Breaking
LeBron James World Cup Final Odds Drop 25pp Despite Whale Buying
Polymarket's prediction on LeBron attending the 2026 World Cup final fell sharply while whale flow moved opposite to the price shift.
Jul 19
Breaking
“Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?” YES price falls 16pp to 41.5% amid diverging whale flow
Polymarket’s top music market sees a sharp 16 percentage point drop in YES price while whale bets move against the trend.
Jul 19
Breaking
Claude Opus July 22, 2026 Release Odds Drop 24pp Despite Whale Support
YES contract price on Polymarket's Claude Opus release question fell from 58.5% to 34.5% while whale flow diverged, signaling market skepticism amid large bets.
Jul 19
Whales
Whale buys $440K on Argentina winning 2026 World Cup, against 41.2% market odds
A single $440K buy on Argentina in the World Cup Winner market bucks the 41.2% implied probability and aligns with broader whale buying.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe Top Goalscorer Odds Surge 50pp to 92.5% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $783K net buying as the market doubled in price within 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Dplus Kia’s chances to win EWC League jump 52.3pp to 100% with whale support
Whales pumped $23K net into YES as odds doubled, pushing price from 47.6% to certainty on Polymarket.
Jul 19
Breaking
YES Price for Nermin Nikšić Chair Drops 27.5pp as Whale Flow Diverges
While the YES contract price plunged from 34.0% to 6.5%, whale activity saw $3K net inflow into YES, signaling mixed signals in the market.
Jul 19
Breaking
Odds for Moonshot’s Chinese AI model leadership drop 28.3 points in 24h on Polymarket
Moonshot’s chance to lead Chinese AI by July 2026 fell sharply despite $6K whale bets moving opposite the price trend.
Jul 19