Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Polymarket’s “Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” market saw a sharp 24.5% price drop despite whale activity moving against it.
A single large trade on Switzerland’s World Cup win market contrasts with the low implied odds and joins broader whale buying activity.
Whale bets moved in sync with a sharp price jump on Polymarket’s $6K-volume market.
Polymarket’s contract on 40 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 2026 saw a sharp repricing amid contrasting whale activity.
The market’s rapid 31.0 percentage point rise to 63.0% was matched by $20K net whale inflows, signaling strong conviction in the move.
Whale activity aligned with rising odds as the market priced in a significant increase in the likelihood of military action.
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise in odds with $18K net inflow, aligning with the price move.
Whales drove a $4K net inflow into YES as Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 12 jumped sharply.
Polymarket’s market on Strait of Hormuz ship traffic sees a sharp 33 percentage point drop in YES odds, while whale activity contradicts the price move.
Whale activity aligned with rapid surge in YES odds, signaling strong conviction behind the dramatic repricing.
