The market on whether David Crowley will win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election saw a sharp repricing, with the YES contract climbing 19.4 percentage points over the past 24 hours to 26.8%, up from around 7.4% the day before.
This surge in odds coincided with significant whale activity supporting the move. Whales added a net $5K into YES contracts, with $7K in buy volume outweighing $2K in sales across 38 unique whale traders. Overall 24-hour volume on the market was $9K, with a lifetime volume of $17K and 160 unique traders participating since inception.
The alignment between whale flows and the price increase indicates strong confidence among large traders in Crowley’s chances. The combined price jump and concentrated whale buying suggest a reassessment of Crowley’s viability in the Democratic primary, potentially driven by recent political developments or new information impacting voter sentiment.
This coordinated move by whales alongside the broader market momentum signals growing conviction behind Crowley’s candidacy as reflected in the market’s pricing.
| Market | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 907512 |
| 24h price change | +19.4 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 26.8% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 7.4% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 27.3% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $5K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $7K / $2K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 38 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $9K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 160 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-18. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.