Breaking
David Crowley’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor Primary Odds Jump 19.4 Points on Polymarket
Whales backed the surge with $5K net buys as the YES price rose from 7.4% to 26.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 18
#%sgovernor primary
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 8 stories.
Breaking
David Crowley’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor primary odds jump 17pp to 17% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with the sharp price increase, signaling rising confidence in Crowley's chances
Jul 18
Breaking
Mike Lindell’s 2026 GOP Governor Primary Odds Jump 19.5 Points to 46.5%
Whale trading aligned with the price surge as Mike Lindell’s chances in Minnesota’s 2026 GOP primary near parity on Polymarket.
Jul 16
Breaking
Toby Doeden’s 2026 South Dakota GOP Primary Odds Drop 30pp Despite $4K Whale Bet
Whales increased YES positions by $4K while the market price for Toby Doeden to win plunged from 40.0% to 10.0%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Toby Doeden’s 2026 SD Governor GOP Primary Odds Drop 33.5 Points Despite $4K Whale Buys
Whale trading and price action diverged sharply as the YES price plunged from 40.5% to 7.0% in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 15
Breaking
Toby Doeden’s 2026 South Dakota GOP Primary Win Odds Drop 28.5pp Amid Whale Buying
Whale investors added $4K to YES contracts even as market probability plunged from 40% to 11.5%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Sara Rodriguez’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor primary odds fall 20pp despite $10K whale buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 20.0 percentage point drop in Sara Rodriguez’s Polymarket odds over 24 hours, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Sara Rodriguez’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor primary odds drop 16.5 pp despite $13K whale buys
Whales bought $16K into YES contracts even as the market price fell from 35.0% to 18.5% over 24 hours, signaling a split between price action and whale flow.
Jul 13