The Polymarket market “Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw its YES contract price climb sharply by 27.0 percentage points in the last 24 hours, rising from an estimated 58.5% to 85.5%, according to the Polymarket Breaking feed on July 16, 2026.
This repricing was supported by whale activity that aligned with the price move. Whales contributed a net $55K into YES positions, with $115K in buy volume against $60K in sell volume, across 125 unique whale addresses. The total 24-hour volume on Polymarket for this market was $135K, representing a significant portion of the lifetime market volume of $220K from 356 unique traders.
The alignment between whale flow and price suggests that large traders are reinforcing the market’s bullish shift toward a commitment exceeding $30 million in the Credible public sale. Notably, while Polymarket’s Breaking YES price stands at 85.5%, the Polydata on-chain mid-price overview shows a slightly higher level at 90.5%, indicating some divergence in pricing sources.
Overall, the combination of rapid price appreciation and supportive whale buying activity signals a strong market consensus that the Credible public sale will surpass the $30 million threshold. The sustained interest and volume from large traders underscore this conviction in the short term.
| Market | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845812 |
| 24h price change | +27.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 85.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 58.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 90.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $55K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $115K / $60K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 125 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $135K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 356 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-16. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.