A $1.25M buy order on the “Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?” market marked a significant move from the wallet @BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate, re-entering after 20 days of inactivity. This stake is notable against the market-implied probability of 68.5%, showing a sizable bet on an outcome with just over two-thirds likelihood according to prevailing prices.
The market has seen $18.26M in total volume, with recent whale activity heavily skewed toward buying. Over the past 24 hours, 2,151 unique whales have purchased $12.84M worth of shares while selling $4.28M, indicating strong consensus among large traders. This $1.25M buy from @BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate aligns with this broader whale flow.
Despite the wallet’s 20-day break, its lifetime record includes $39.30M in volume across 3,743 trades and 80 markets, placing it among experienced participants. The scale of this individual trade, combined with the wallet’s history and timing, suggests a deliberate return to a market that has drawn substantial whale interest.
The $1.25M purchase on an outcome priced at 68.5% highlights a confident position within a market that has attracted nearly $20 million in volume. This move, joining the prevailing whale buying trend, underlines sustained interest in the “Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?” question as the event approaches.
| Direction | BUY |
|---|---|
| Market | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? |
| Event | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? |
| Wallet | @BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate · 0xadc2efbf97ce7b25f7a638aabdba196c657cd1c9 |
| Amount | $1.25M |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/moves · snapshot 2026-07-07T20:52:13Z. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.