A wallet identified as 0x05a0…0df2 placed the largest single trade on Polymarket in the last 24 hours, buying $839K on the “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” market. This trade was part of three large moves by the same wallet totaling $1.28M today, which also included selling $311K and $133K on the same outcome.
The market-implied probability of Spain winning stood at 58.5% when this buy order hit, indicating that the wallet committed a substantial amount of capital near the market consensus. This move aligns with the broader whale flow on the market, where $4.69M was bought against $1.10M sold by 782 unique whales over the past 24 hours.
The “World Cup Winner” event spans 50 markets with a lifetime volume of $4.02B and has engaged 158,965 traders. Within this event, the single largest trader accounts for 3.8% of total volume. The market for Spain’s win has attracted significant attention as it approaches closure tomorrow.
Overall market volume on this outcome reached $132.71M, underscoring the scale of liquidity. The wallet’s lifetime trading volume is $1.56M across 13 trades in one market, showing focused activity. This whale’s activity today represents a meaningful portion of its lifetime volume, signaling a concentrated bet as the market nears its end.
This trade is notable not only for its size but also because it joins the dominant whale buying trend on the market. As this market closes tomorrow, such large, concentrated bets from experienced wallets contribute to shaping the final pricing dynamics.
| Direction | BUY |
|---|---|
| Market | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
| Event | World Cup Winner |
| Wallet | 0x05a0bf3fa5775a5e38d4ed6688cce88130460df2 |
| Amount | $839K |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/moves · snapshot 2026-07-19T18:44:09Z. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.