Whales
Whale Bets $372K Against 0.35% Market Odds on Fed Rate Cut in July 2026
A single wallet with a 64.2% accuracy record placed the largest trade on Polymarket, backing a low-probability Fed rate cut outcome.
Jul 18
#%swhale-trades
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 5 stories.
Whales
$804K bet defies 0.05% odds on England to win 2026 World Cup
Top-20 trader @BreakTheBank places $1.34M in three large bets including $804K against market consensus on England’s 2026 World Cup chances
Jul 15
Whales
Whale buys $291K on Spain to win 2026 World Cup at 58.1% market probability
A single wallet moved $476K today on Spain’s 2026 World Cup win market, aligning with broader whale buying despite the market’s moderate implied chance.
Jul 15
Whales
$1.04M Sell Challenges 0.15% Odds on Fed Rate Hike After July 2026 Meeting
A top trader with 81.6% accuracy sells over $1M against a low-probability outcome, diverging from whale market flow.
Jul 6
Whales
Wallet #10 leaderboard trader buys $313K on Mexico-England draw at 30.5% market chance
A top-10 ranked wallet placed nearly $1M in bets today including a $313K buy against the consensus on a Mexico-England draw.
Jul 6