Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? YES price surges 86.8pp to 95.5% with whale support
Polymarket’s contract on Pokrovka capture sees a dramatic shift as whales back the surge with $13K net buys.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Polymarket’s contract on Pokrovka capture sees a dramatic shift as whales back the surge with $13K net buys.
Whale buying of $30K contrasts with sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket odds for 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026.
Whales pushed $3K net into YES as the contract’s probability more than doubled to 94.7% in 24 hours.
Whales supported a massive 24-hour surge in odds, pushing the YES contract from 8.8% to 95.1% on Polymarket.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in odds, signaling near certainty in the market over 24 hours.
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge on Polymarket, lifting odds from 27.5% to 91.1%.
Whales added a net $12K into YES as market odds surged from 46.0% to 83.0%, signaling strong conviction on Ethereum’s near-term price target.
Polymarket’s YES price for Ed Miliband as UK Chancellor fell from 68.5% to 42.0% despite whales buying $3K net into the contract.
Whales added $5K net into YES contracts, aligning with a sharp 24-hour price surge amid moderate overall volume.
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as the market’s probability collapsed from near certainty to under 40%.