Breaking
Moonshot AI Model Market Jumps 31.9pp to 51.5% on Whale Buying
Whale net inflows of $6K supported a sharp rise in odds for Moonshot leading Chinese AI by July 2026.
Jul 17
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Surges 33pp as Whales Back YES with $6K Net Flow
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour jump from 57.0% to 90.0% in the odds of Iran taking military action on July 17.
Jul 17
Breaking
US x Iran Ceasefire Odds Drop 18pp Amid Divergent Whale Activity
YES contract for an effective ceasefire by August 14 fell from 53.0% to 35.0% as whale flow diverged from price action.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Contract Jumps 21pp to 92% on Whale Buying
Whales contributed $17K net inflow as Polymarket traders sharply raised odds of a Bitcoin price dip this month.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 31.5pp to 85% on Polymarket amid whale buying
Whales pushed $5K net into YES as market price jumped from 53.5% to 85% in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Houthis Shipping Target Odds Surge 32.5 Points to 70% on Polymarket
Whale activity tracked the sharp 24-hour jump, reinforcing rising market confidence in a successful attack by July 31, 2026.
Jul 17
Breaking
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding? YES price plunges 56.4 pp amid whale flow divergence
Max Martin attendance odds on Polymarket dropped from 88.1% to 31.7% as whale buying diverged from price moves.
Jul 17
Breaking
Odds Max Martin will attend Taylor Swift’s wedding plunge 61.9pp as whale buying diverges
Max Martin’s attendance YES contract dropped from 93.5% to 31.6% despite $11K whale net inflow, signaling a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 32pp to 40.5% as whale flow diverges
Polymarket contracts on Iran's Gulf military action fell sharply despite large whale bets opposing the move.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds tumble 35.5 points as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?” contract fell from 71.5% to 36.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 17