Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi Exit Odds Rise 15.3 Points to 34.2% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 15.3 pp increase in the probability that Syrskyi will be out by July 31, 2026.
Jul 18
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone’s Nominee Odds Surge 54.1 Points on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour jump in YES price to 66% for South Carolina Senate primary.
Jul 18
Breaking
Cook Islands Party’s odds jump 30.5 points to 80.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and market prices moved in sync to sharply boost confidence in the Cook Islands Party’s 2026 election prospects.
Jul 18
Breaking
‘Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?’ YES price drops 17.5 pp despite $9K whale buys
Whale buying flows diverged from a sharp 17.5 percentage point decline in YES contract price over 24 hours, signaling mixed market signals.
Jul 18
Breaking
Trump in WC Champions Photo YES slips 15pp despite $10K whale buy flow
Whales bought $10K into YES even as price dropped from 70.5% to 55.5%, signaling a split between big bets and market sentiment.
Jul 18
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July dip odds drop 16.8pp despite $17K whale buy flow
Polymarket's Bitcoin dip market sees a sharp 16.8 percentage point fall in YES price while whales increase net YES exposure by $17K, signaling a divergence between price and whale behavior.
Jul 18
Breaking
Shakira World Cup Halftime Show Song Odds Jump 32.5pp to 74.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity tracked the sharp 24-hour rise in odds that ‘Dai Dai’ will open the 2026 FIFA Final Halftime Show.
Jul 18
Breaking
Yes Price on Houthi Shipping Attack Market Drops 23.4pp Despite No Whale Support
Polymarket’s “Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?” market saw a sharp 23.4 percentage point decline in Yes price, with whale flow diverging from the price move.
Jul 18
Breaking
David Crowley’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor primary odds jump 17pp to 17% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with the sharp price increase, signaling rising confidence in Crowley's chances
Jul 18
Breaking
Houthis shipping target odds plunge 34.5 points as whale flow pushes opposite way
YES price for Houthis targeting shipping drops from 61.5% to 27.0% despite $9K whale bets into YES
Jul 18