Breaking
Dplus Kia’s EWC win odds surge 64.9pp to 100% with whale flow confirming
Whales bought $24K net into YES as odds on Dplus Kia winning the EWC League of Legends Tournament jumped from 35.1% to certainty.
Jul 19
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Kareem Allam’s 2026 Vancouver Mayoral Win Odds Drop 39.5pp Despite Whale Buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 39.5 percentage point decline in Kareem Allam’s win probability on Polymarket over 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Odds for next Claude Opus model release by July 22, 2026, drop 21.5 pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract price fell from 59.0% to 37.5% despite whale bets moving against the trend, signaling market uncertainty.
Jul 19
Breaking
Lionel Messi top scorer odds plunge 49.3 points despite $836K whale buy-in
A sharp 24-hour drop to 7.8% on Polymarket contrasts with $1.57M whale buy volume, revealing conflicting signals.
Jul 19
Breaking
Alibaba AI market surges 29.3pp to 68% as whale buying backs the rally
Whales contributed $5K net into YES as Polymarket sharply repriced Alibaba’s lead in Chinese AI models by July 2026.
Jul 19
Breaking
Messi top scorer odds plunge 49.3 pp to 7.8% as whale flow diverges
Whales bought $830K in YES contracts even as market odds for Messi’s 2026 World Cup top scorer bet collapsed from 57.1% to 7.8%.
Jul 19
Breaking
Messi top scorer odds plunge 49.2pp to 8.0% despite $835K whale buys
Whale buying diverged sharply from a steep market price drop on Lionel Messi’s 2026 World Cup top scorer chances.
Jul 19
Breaking
Messi top goalscorer odds plunge 49.2pp as whale flow diverges sharply
While Lionel Messi's chance to be 2026 World Cup top scorer dropped from 57.2% to 8.1%, whales bought $823K into YES, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 19
Breaking
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournament odds surge 66.1pp to 91.1%
Whales contributed $23K net buying alongside a sharp jump in market odds over 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
US halt on Iran offensive odds drop 15.5 points despite whale buying
Polymarket's 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?' market falls from 80% to 64.5% even as whales increase YES bets, signaling a split between retail and large traders.
Jul 19