Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES price drops 38.6 pp amid whale flow divergence
YES contract for Iran shipping target falls from 46.9% to 8.2% despite $4K whale buys, signaling mixed market signals
Jul 15
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Odds for Russia capturing Pokrovka by July 31 jump 89.8pp to 97.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a dramatic price surge, pushing market confidence sharply higher in a single day.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July market jumps 38.5pp as whales pile into YES
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in YES price from 52.0% to 90.5%, signaling strong conviction in the contract.
Jul 15
Breaking
Yvette Cooper’s chances as UK Chancellor soar 45.9pp to 53.4% on Polymarket
Whales added a net $9K in buys, pushing odds sharply higher alongside broader market activity.
Jul 15
Breaking
45pp surge in ‘Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?’ market as whales back YES
Polymarket’s YES price jumped from 35.5% to 80.5% on strong whale buying aligned with the price move.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds jump 23.5 points as whales back YES on Polymarket
Whales aligned with a 24-hour surge in market odds, driving YES price from 64.5% to 88.0% ahead of July 15
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate hike odds plunge 30.1 points despite $885K whale buy-in
Whales bought $885K into YES contracts as the market sharply cut the probability of a July 2026 rate increase by 30.1 percentage points.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed 25 bps Rate Hike Odds Cut 30.4 pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Despite a 30.4 percentage point plunge in YES price, whales increased their net buys by $891K, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Unai Simón’s Golden Glove odds surge 48 pp to 75.5% with $8K whale inflow
Whale buying and price moves aligned as Polymarket sharply reprices Simón’s chances at the 2026 World Cup.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market YES Price Drops 44.5pp Amid Whale-Price Divergence
Whales bought $28K in YES contracts while Polymarket’s price for Ed Miliband as Chancellor tumbled from 62.5% to 18.0%.
Jul 15