Fed July 2026 No-Change Odds Surge 32pp to 93.5% on $2.26M Whale Bets
Whale buying aligned with sharp market repricing as confidence in stable rates after July 2026 meeting jumps.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Whale buying aligned with sharp market repricing as confidence in stable rates after July 2026 meeting jumps.
Whale buying diverged from sharply lower prices as market odds dropped from 91.5% to 58.5% in 24 hours.
Whales increased YES bets by $4K even as market odds dropped sharply from 41.4% to 7.8% in 24 hours, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Whale buying of $15K into YES contrasts with a sharp plunge in price from 57.0% to 0.05%, signaling a market split on growth expectations.
Core CPI July MoM market sees YES contract fall from 63.0% to 44.0% while whale activity diverges from price movement.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 19.5 percentage point decline in Spider-Man’s top-grossing market odds over 24 hours.
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?' contract saw a sharp drop in YES price amid opposing whale activity.
Polymarket's Ethereum $1,900 July market saw YES price surge from 52.5% to 88.0%, with whale activity reinforcing the move.
Whales added $4K net into YES contracts while the market price plunged from 91.5% to 54.5%, signaling a sharp shift in sentiment.
Whales supported the sharp rise in odds on no Google Gemini Pro release by July 31, 2026, with $6K net flow into YES contracts.