Breaking
July 2026 hottest month prediction jumps 36 percentage points to 79.5%
Whales supported the sharp rise in odds with $11K net flow into YES contracts amid $17K 24-hour volume on Polymarket.
Jul 15
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July YES contract jumps 24.4 pp to 100%, whales back the move
Whales added a net $31K to the YES side as the market price surged from 75.5% to full certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 in July Market Jumps 27.5pp as Whales Push YES to 95.5%
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 27.5 percentage point rise in the probability that ETH will hit $1,900 by July, signaling strong conviction in this outcome.
Jul 15
Breaking
‘Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?’ YES odds plunge 41.5 pp to 43.5%
Polymarket's Core CPI July contract saw a sharp 41.5 percentage point drop in YES price, while whale activity diverged from the price move.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July odds surge 28pp as whales add $23K to YES
Ethereum price reaching $1,900 in July jumped from 66.5% to 94.5% on Polymarket, with whale buying driving the rally.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?” YES price jumps 42.5 pp to 79.5%
Whales supported the sharp rise with $11K net flow into YES amid $17K total 24-hour volume.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES odds drop 29pp to 34.0%
The market’s sharp decline in YES price contrasts with whale activity, which did not support the move.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?” YES price jumps 35.0 pp to 79.5%
Whale activity and market prices moved in tandem as confidence surged sharply in July 2026 heat records.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price drops 26.5pp despite whale divergence
The market's YES contract fell from 56.0% to 29.5% in 24 hours while whale activity diverged, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed Rate Freeze Odds Surge 27pp to 93.5% on Whale Support
Whales drove $2.22M net into the 'no change' bet as the market sharply repriced in one day.
Jul 15