Breaking
Odds for Shabana Mahmood as UK Chancellor in 2026 jump 45pp to 51.3% on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with a $22K net buy into YES contracts amid $47K 24-hour volume.
Jul 15
#%spolymarket
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
PayPal acquisition odds jump 56.5 points to 72% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise in the chance of PayPal being acquired before 2027, adding $1K net into YES contracts.
Jul 15
Breaking
PayPal acquisition odds jump 52.5 points to 68% as whales back the move
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge, signaling growing conviction on PayPal deal timing.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 52.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” contract sees a sharp drop in YES price amid $14K volume, with whale bets diverging from market direction.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood’s odds jump 52.9 points to 59.2% with $21K whale inflow
Whales and market trading aligned as YES price surged from 6.3% to 59.2% in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Home Secretary 2026 ‘No Successor’ Odds Drop 58pp to 33.5% Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket’s 'no next Home Secretary' market saw a sharp 58 percentage point decline in YES price despite whales adding $6K net into YES contracts, highlighting a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Market Jumps 48.9pp to 55.1% on Whale Support
Whales aligned with the price surge, netting $20K into YES as market odds flipped from 6.3% to 55.1% in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Russia capturing Pokrovka jumps 90.8 pp to 97.9%
Whales supported the sharp rise with $15K net inflow into YES amid $58K total 24h volume on the market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Odds Surge 40.1pp to 46% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $20K net buying as market odds jumped sharply from 5.9% to 46%.
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary 2026 Market YES Price Drops 44.0 Points Despite Whale Buying
Whales increased exposure by $4K to YES as the market price fell from 63.5% to 19.5%, signaling a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 15