Breaking
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? YES price drops 30 pp despite whale bets
The market’s YES contract plunged from 37.5% to 7.5% in 24 hours while whale flow moved against the price trend.
Jul 14
#%soil sanctions
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 5 stories.
Breaking
US Iran oil sanction relief odds plunge 25.5 pp despite whale buying
Polymarket's 'US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?' YES contract dropped from 38.0% to 12.5%, but whale flow increased YES bets, diverging from the price move.
Jul 14
Breaking
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? YES price plunges 38.5 pp to 19.0%
Whale activity diverged sharply from the 24-hour price drop, signaling conflicting views on sanction relief timing.
Jul 13
Breaking
US Iran oil sanction relief odds jump 18 points to 41% on Polymarket
Whale bets backed a sharp 18-point rise in the chance US will reissue Iran oil sanction relief by July 31, lifting YES price from 23% to 41%.
Jul 13
Breaking
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? YES odds jump 16 pp to 40.5%
Whale activity and market prices moved in tandem as the probability of US sanction relief on Iranian oil surged on Polymarket.
Jul 12