Breaking
ECB 25bps Hike Odds Jump 21pp to 80.5% on Polymarket with Whale Support
The probability of a September 2026 ECB rate hike surged sharply alongside $4K whale net buys, signaling aligned market conviction.
Jul 17
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 20 stories.
Whales
$399K bet against consensus on Fed rate hike after July 2026 meeting
A single wallet with 85.2% accuracy backs a longshot Fed interest rate increase, joining whale buying in a $12M market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed Rate Freeze Odds Surge 27pp to 93.5% on Whale Support
Whales drove $2.22M net into the 'no change' bet as the market sharply repriced in one day.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed July 2026 no-rate-change odds jump 28pp to 93.5% as whales buy $2.21M
Whale buying aligned with price surge, pushing Polymarket odds sharply higher over 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate hold after July 2026 meeting jumps 32pp to 93.5% on Polymarket
$2.20M whale net buying backs a sharp rise in odds for no Fed rate change following July 2026 meeting
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate-hike pause odds surge 32pp to 93.5% on $2.23M whale inflow
Whales and retail aligned as Polymarket repriced the chance of no Fed rate change after July 2026 sharply higher.
Jul 15
Breaking
Odds for No Fed Rate Change After July 2026 Meeting Surge 32pp to 93.5%
Whales backed the sharp price jump with $2.26M net flow into YES contracts amid $2.99M traded in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed Rate Pause Odds Jump 32pp to 93.5% on $2.27M Whale Buying
Whales drove a $2.27M net inflow as the market sharply repriced the chance of no Fed rate change after July 2026 meeting.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate hike odds plunge 30.1 points despite $885K whale buy-in
Whales bought $885K into YES contracts as the market sharply cut the probability of a July 2026 rate increase by 30.1 percentage points.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed 25 bps Rate Hike Odds Cut 30.4 pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Despite a 30.4 percentage point plunge in YES price, whales increased their net buys by $891K, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 15