Whales
$463K Net Whale Flow Into YES on Norway World Cup Win Defies 5.9% Market Price
Despite a 5.9% market-implied probability, whales have pushed $463K net into Norway winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup over 24 hours.
Jul 11
#%sfifa world cup
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 24 stories.
Whales
$1.36M Net Whale Flow Bets on Belgium to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 0.05% Market Price
Whales are buying aggressively into Belgium’s 2026 World Cup win at odds the market currently prices near zero, highlighting a stark divergence in sentiment.
Jul 11
Whales
Whales Bet $761K on Spain to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 16.5% Market Price
Large traders have pushed $3.04M into Spain bets over 24 hours, diverging sharply from the market-implied 16.5% probability.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales add $300K to Switzerland win bets despite 1.8% market price
Big-money investors push $300K into yes side on Switzerland winning 2026 World Cup, contrasting with low market odds.
Jul 10
Whales
$759K Whale Inflow into Norway 2026 World Cup Bet Contrasts 5.9% Market Price
Whale activity signals a divergence from prevailing market odds in the Norway 2026 World Cup winner market.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Net $531K on Belgium to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 2.1% Market Price
Despite a market-implied probability of 2.1%, $531K flowed into YES bets from large traders in the Belgium 2026 World Cup market over 24 hours.
Jul 10
Whales
$478K Net Whale Flow Into YES on Switzerland World Cup Win, Market Implies 2.1%
Whales are betting heavily on Switzerland to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup despite a low market price of 2.1%.
Jul 9
Whales
Whales add $370K to Colombia World Cup 2026 YES at 0.05% market price
Despite a market-implied probability of 0.05%, whales have net bought $370K on Colombia winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup in the last 24 hours.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales add $252K to YES on Argentina’s 2026 World Cup win as price lingers at 1.9%
Large traders accumulate YES positions despite low market-implied probability, highlighting a divergence in sentiment ahead of market close.
Jul 7
Whales
Whales Bet $4.01M on Egypt to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 0.25% Market Price
A $4.01M net inflow from whales into Egypt's 2026 World Cup win contrasts sharply with the market's 0.25% implied probability, highlighting a notable divergence in sentiment.
Jul 7