Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision odds jump 25pp to 79.5% on Polymarket
Whales increased exposure by $925, moving in step with the sharp rise in YES contract price.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 7 stories.
Whales increased exposure by $925, moving in step with the sharp rise in YES contract price.
Whales added $969 net to YES contracts as market consensus shifted sharply higher in 24 hours.
Whales aligned with price action, adding $1K net to YES as market volume reached $6K in 24 hours.
Whale buying of $1K in YES contracts contrasts with a sharp 25.5 percentage point decline in market odds over 24 hours.
Polymarket’s market on Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision sees a sharp price repricing amid whale flow diverging from the price move.
YES contract for Citigroup's credit loss provision falls from 92.5% to 67.5% despite $1K net whale buys, signaling conflicting signals in Polymarket action.
Polymarket’s YES price for Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision above $2.5B fell from 92.5% to 52.0% while whales added $1K net into YES, signaling a split between price action and whale flow.