The Polydata-exclusive PMX composite index measures prediction-market mood at 39.1 on a 0-100 scale where 50 is neutral, signaling below-neutral market activity overall.
Among its five sub-indices, the PMX-Crypto component stands out with a reading of 100.8, marking its highest level in 43 days and indicating a surge in crypto-market activity. This peak contrasts sharply with the weakest sub-index, PMX-Sentiment, which registers just 30.1, reflecting subdued average market-implied probabilities. The divergence between these extremes highlights an uneven market mood, where crypto-related trading is highly active while general sentiment remains low.
Other sub-indices further illustrate this mixed picture: PMX-Politics holds a relatively strong 74.6, suggesting elevated political-market activity, while PMX-Whale and PMX-Volume read 44.5 and 42.7 respectively, both below neutral levels. These figures indicate moderate whale buy/sell balance and trading volume compared to their 30-day norms.
This fragmented landscape suggests that while specific sectors, particularly crypto and politics, are experiencing heightened engagement, the broader market sentiment and trading activity lack strength. The PMX index, unique to Polydata, provides this nuanced view by combining multiple market dimensions into a single composite, offering a rare window into the current prediction-market mood.
| PMX composite | 39.1 | 50 = neutral |
|---|---|---|
| PMX-Volume | 42.7 | trading volume vs its 30-day norm |
| PMX-Whale | 44.5 | whale buy/sell balance |
| PMX-Politics | 74.6 | political-market activity |
| PMX-Crypto | 100.8 | crypto-market activity |
| PMX-Sentiment | 30.1 | average market-implied probability |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /pmx-index · snapshot 2026-07-15. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.