The market asking whether Max Martin will attend Taylor Swift’s wedding saw a significant repricing over the past 24 hours, with the YES contract climbing 17.2 percentage points from 29.6% to 46.8%.
This move was reinforced by whale activity, as 54 unique whales collectively bought $7K and sold $4K, resulting in a net inflow of $3K into YES positions. The alignment between whale buying and the price increase indicates that large traders are backing the growing probability reflected in the market.
Over the same period, total Polymarket volume on this question was $7K, matching whale buy volume, suggesting whales accounted for a substantial share of recent trading. Since inception, the market has attracted $142K in volume with 383 unique traders, showing sustained interest in this celebrity event.
The combined price surge and whale net buying signal increased confidence in Max Martin attending the wedding. The market’s rapid adjustment and whale endorsement suggest a notable shift in expectations among informed participants.
| Market | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 941765 |
| 24h price change | +17.2 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 46.8% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 29.6% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 46.8% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $3K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $7K / $4K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 54 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $7K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 383 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-18. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.