The market on whether David Crowley will win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election surged sharply, with the YES contract price rising from 0.05% to 20.3% over the last 24 hours. This represents a 20.3 percentage point increase, signaling a dramatic shift in market sentiment around Crowley’s prospects.
Whale activity supported this price movement, with net inflows of $2K into YES contracts. Whale buy volume totaled $5K, outpacing $3K in sell volume across 50 unique whales. The alignment of whale flow and price, flagged by Polymarket’s data, indicates that large traders were buyers as the odds climbed.
Overall 24-hour volume on the market reached $7K, contributing to a lifetime market volume of $13K, traded by 154 unique participants.
This rapid repricing and whale confirmation highlight a notable shift in expectations within the Polymarket community. The combination of a steep price jump and supportive whale flow points to heightened market confidence in Crowley’s candidacy at this stage of the race.
| Market | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 907512 |
| 24h price change | +20.3 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 20.3% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 0.05% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 20.4% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $2K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $5K / $3K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 50 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $7K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 154 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-18. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.