Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds crash 32.2pp to 2.1% despite $9K whale bets
Whale flows diverged sharply from price moves as Polymarket’s 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' contract plunged in odds.
Jul 9
Breaking
Sharp 24-hour price moves on Polymarket’s Breaking feed, with whale-flow context from Polydata.
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision odds drop 40.5 pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s YES price for Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision above $2.5B fell from 92.5% to 52.0% while whales added $1K net into YES, signaling a split between price action and whale flow.
Jul 9
Breaking
Odds for GPT-6 Release by Sept 30, 2026, Jump 16pp to 65.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with sharp price rise as market price climbs from 49.5% to 65.5%.
Jul 9
Breaking
SpaceX IPO Market Cap Odds Jump 18.5 Points as Whales Back Rally
Whales pumped $6K into YES contracts, pushing Polymarket odds for SpaceX topping 2026 IPO market cap to 86.5%.
Jul 9
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?” YES price drops 20.7pp amid whale-buy flow divergence
Whales bought $9K into YES contracts while market odds plunged from 22.8% to 2.1%, signaling a sharp mismatch between price action and large trader behavior.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision YES price plunges 44.5 pp amid whale flow-price divergence
While the YES contract dropped from 92.5% to 48.0%, whales added $867 net into YES, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Jump 18.5 Points with Whale Support
Whales added $5K to YES contracts as market price for SpaceX launch rose from 59.5% to 78.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 9
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?” YES price plunges 33.9 pp despite $9K whale inflow
Whale buying diverged sharply from a 33.9 percentage point drop in the YES price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 Release Contract Sees 38.1pp Drop in YES Price Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Despite a sharp 38.1 percentage point decline in the YES price, whales added $8K net into the contract, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 38.4 pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' market saw YES contracts drop from 40.8% to 2.4% despite $6K whale buying over 24 hours.
Jul 9