Whales
Whales Pour $1.61M into England Win Despite 0.05% Odds in World Cup 2026 Market
Significant whale buying diverges sharply from market pricing in a $110M prediction market closing in five days.
Jul 16
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Market Surges 30.4pp to 87.8% with Whale Support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 30.4 percentage point increase in odds for Mahmood as next UK Chancellor in 2026.
Jul 16
Breaking
Detroit Tigers’ ABS success rate odds surge 71pp to 72% on Polymarket
Whale bets aligned with a sharp 71 percentage point jump in the Detroit Tigers’ chance to lead MLB in ABS success rate in 2026.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 34pp despite $10K whale buys
Whale activity diverged from price as market slashed Iran military action odds from 93.5% to 59.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will Trump meet Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?” YES price plunges 68.8pp to 3.1%
Whale trading diverged sharply from price action as market sentiment flipped on Trump-Netanyahu meeting odds.
Jul 16
Breaking
Europe’s 2026 World Cup win odds drop 22pp despite $90K whale inflow
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 22 percentage point decline in yes price to 58.5%, signaling market uncertainty.
Jul 16
Breaking
UK Home Secretary 2026 ‘No Successor’ Odds Drop 37pp as Whales Buy $5K YES
Despite a sharp 37 percentage point fall in YES price, whales increased their exposure by $5K, diverging from overall market sentiment.
Jul 16
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Market Surges 26.1pp to 93.2% Amid Whale Buying
Whales aligned with a sharp 26.1 percentage point rise in the probability Max Martin will attend Taylor Swift's wedding, driving confidence in the market.
Jul 16
Breaking
Detroit Tigers’ ABS Success Rate Odds Jump 67pp to 68% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge, pushing YES odds from 1.0% to 68.0% on $152K volume.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 30pp as whale buying diverges from price move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market saw a sharp 30.0 pp fall in YES price while whales increased their YES exposure by $10K, signaling conflicting signals in the tape.
Jul 16