Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Israeli parliament dissolution plunges 52.2 pp in 24h
Whale activity diverged sharply from the price drop, signaling mixed conviction in the market move.
Jul 16
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whales
$739K Sell on Argentina World Cup Win Runs Against 41.6% Market Odds
A top-ranked trader moved $1.74M today across World Cup markets, betting heavily against Argentina’s 2026 win despite broad whale buying.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds drop 32.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
YES price on Polymarket for Iran military action against a Gulf State fell from 74.0% to 41.5% despite $12K whale net buying in past 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Trump-China election interference accusation odds jump 35pp to 70.5%
Polymarket's price surge on Trump accusing China by July 16 coincides with aligned whale buying.
Jul 16
Breaking
Trump China interference accusation odds jump 43.5 pp to 77% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in the market’s YES price to 77%, signaling strong conviction on the outcome.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will Trump meet Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?” YES price plunges 76pp in 24 hours
The contract’s YES price dropped from 87.0% to 11.0% despite whale flow moving against the price, signaling a sharp market rethink.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action on July 16? YES price plunges 37pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s market on Iran’s Gulf military action saw YES contract price drop from 67.5% to 30.5% despite whale bets moving opposite the price trend.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?” YES price plunges 72.5 pp in 24h on Polymarket
Despite a 72.5 percentage point drop in YES price, whale bets moved against the price trend, signaling conflicting views on the market.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 32.5 points to 35% despite whale selling
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?' market saw a sharp price decline while whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting signals in market sentiment.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? YES price drops 23pp to 44.5%
Polymarket's market saw a sharp 23.0 percentage point decline in YES contract price amid whale activity diverging from price moves.
Jul 16