Breaking
Moonshot’s odds to lead Chinese AI by July 2026 jump 24.6 points on Polymarket
Whales backed the surge with $7K net flow into YES as market odds nearly doubled in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Ethereum $1,800 July Dip Odds Jump 16.5pp to 86% with Whale Support
Whales added $3K net to YES as Polymarket’s Ethereum dip contract surged from 69.5% to 86% in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Trump-Netanyahu meeting odds plunge 35.5 points to 9% despite whale buying
Price for a Trump-Netanyahu meeting by July 24, 2026, dropped sharply while whale flow diverged, signaling market skepticism amid large bets.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Contract Surges 15.5pp to 87% on Whale Buying
Whales added $18K net to YES positions as Polymarket odds jump from 71.5% to 87% in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
YES price jumps 19.5 pp to 57% on $32.5M Credible public sale market
Whale activity and price moves aligned as Polymarket traders sharply increased odds on Credible’s fundraising milestone.
Jul 17
Breaking
YES price jumps 15pp to 52.5% on Credible public sale market as whale flow backs move
Polymarket's 'Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?' contract climbed sharply with whale bets reinforcing the rally.
Jul 17
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds jump 19pp to 79% as whales back the move
Polymarket’s market on Anthropic extending Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access sees a coordinated rise in price and whale buying.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 39.4 points to 95.3% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rise in probability with $10K net flow into YES as market volume hit $13K in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds drop 56.6pp as whales diverge, buying $11K YES
Polymarket’s “Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?” contract fell from 89.5% to 32.9% despite $11K whale buying, signaling market skepticism.
Jul 17
Breaking
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani Nobel Peace Prize Odds Drop 22.1 Points Amid Whale Buying
Despite a sharp 22.1 percentage point plunge in YES price, whales increased net bets by $40K on Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani winning the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
Jul 17