Breaking
Odds for Claude Opus Model Release by July 31, 2026 Jump 18.5 Points
Whale trading activity aligned with an 18.5 percentage point price surge, pushing the YES contract to 81.5% on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
NVIDIA Largest Company Odds Drop 18pp to 58% Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Despite a sharp 18-point decline in NVIDIA’s market cap prediction, whales increased their YES exposure by $40K in the last 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ralph Norman’s Senate nominee odds drop 17pp despite $7K whale buying
Whales bought $13K in YES contracts even as the market price plunged from 30.0% to 13.0%.
Jul 17
Breaking
Claude Opus Release Odds Jump 25pp to 41.5% with Whale Support
Polymarket's market on Claude Opus model release sees significant repricing backed by aligned whale activity.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Odds Jump 25 Points on Polymarket as Whale Flow Supports Move
The probability that Ethereum hits $1,900 in July surged from 49.5% to 74.5%, backed by aligned whale activity and $17K volume.
Jul 17
Breaking
Claude Opus model release odds jump 34 points to 52.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying supported a sharp rise in the likelihood of the next Claude Opus model launching by July 22, 2026.
Jul 17
Breaking
Yes Price for Claude Opus July 22 Release Jumps 18.5 Points to 52%
Whale activity and market prices moved in sync as Polymarket sharply repriced odds on Claude Opus model release.
Jul 17
Breaking
Apple Largest Company Market Cap Odds Jump 18.9pp to 37.9% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $16K net buying as the market sharply repriced Apple’s potential to lead by July 31.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Target Jumps 27.5pp to 77.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched rising odds as the probability for Ethereum hitting $1,900 in July surged from 50.0% to 77.5%.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Surge 28.5 Points to 78.5% on Polymarket
Whale bets moved in sync with a sharp 28.5 percentage point rise in the chance Bitcoin hits $65,000 this month.
Jul 17