Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Polymarket’s market on LeBron James attending the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final saw a sharp 31.5 percentage point decline in YES price despite whale activity moving against it.
Whales backed Kylian Mbappe’s top goalscorer bet with $602K net buys as YES price jumped from 41.5% to 91.5% in 24 hours.
Whales pushed $20K net into YES as the market sharply repriced from 12.8%, signaling strong conviction in Dplus Kia’s chances.
A surge from 15.0% to 75.1% in 24 hours on Dplus Kia’s EWC League of Legends win market aligns with $19K whale net buying, signaling strong conviction.
Whales bought $9K of YES contracts while the market price fell from 48.4% to 28.7%, showing a divergence between flow and price.
Whales and retail traders pushed the price sharply higher, signaling strong conviction in Mbappe’s World Cup scoring chances.
Whale activity and price gains aligned as the market for Trump’s presence in the WC Champions Photo surged sharply in 24 hours.
Whales drove a $594K net inflow into YES as odds surged from 41.5% to 92.5% in 24 hours.
Whales supported the sharp rise with $19K net flow into YES, confirming the market repricing.
Whale buying of $19K aligns with a sharp jump in YES price from 8.0% to 64.0% over 24 hours, signaling strong confidence in the market.
