Breaking
Israel military exemption for Yeshiva students YES price jumps 73.5pp to 82%
Whales added $11K to YES bets as Polymarket odds surged from 8.5% to 82% in 24 hours, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 14
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
“Will Ed Miliband be Chancellor in 2026?” YES price plunges 52.5pp amid whale flow divergence
Whale investors added $23K to YES contracts even as market price dropped from 68.5% to 16.0%, signaling conflicting signals on Ed Miliband’s chances.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?” YES price jumps 86.6 pp to 95.4% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rally with $15K net buys as the market’s odds surged from 8.8% to 95.4% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 44.9 points amid whale flow divergence
The YES contract dropped from 51.5% to 6.7% while whale net buying pushed $39K into YES, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for Ed Miliband as UK Chancellor plunge 55.5pp to 13% amid whale buying divergence
Ed Miliband’s chance of becoming Chancellor dropped sharply on Polymarket despite whales increasing their YES positions by $23K.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market YES Price Drops 49pp Despite $23K Whale Flow
Whale activity diverged sharply from a steep 24-hour selloff that cut YES odds from 68.5% to 19.5%.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for ‘No Next UK Home Secretary in 2026’ Drop 62pp to 29.5% Amid Whale-Tape Divergence
Polymarket’s ‘No Next Home Secretary’ market saw a sharp 62pp decline in YES price over 24 hours, while whale flows modestly supported the position.
Jul 14
Breaking
“No next Google Gemini Pro by July 31, 2026?” YES jumps 66.5pp to 90% as whales back move
The Polymarket contract saw a sharp repricing with whale flows confirming the surge in odds for no Gemini Pro release by mid-2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for Israel Yeshiva Military Exemption Jump 80.5pp to 88% on Polymarket
Whales added $11K net to YES contracts as market sharply repriced the likelihood of exemption by September 30.
Jul 14
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro no-release odds surge 61pp to 84.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rise in the probability that no new Google Gemini Pro model will arrive by July 31, 2026.
Jul 14