Breaking
Argentina World Cup goals market jumps 39pp as whales back YES
Polymarket's odds for Argentina scoring most goals at the 2026 World Cup surged to 78.8%, supported by $3K whale net buying over 24 hours.
Jul 14
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro no-release odds jump 64pp to 88% with $6K whale support
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 64 percentage-point rise in the probability that no new Google Gemini Pro model will launch by July 31, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for Sabrina Carpenter at 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime drop 50pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket price for Sabrina Carpenter's halftime show appearance fell from 86.9% to 36.9% despite $3K whale net buys into YES.
Jul 14
Breaking
Unai Simón’s Golden Glove Odds Jump 50.5pp to 76.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying of $5K aligns with a sharp market repricing in the 24 hours to July 15.
Jul 14
Breaking
Sabrina Carpenter World Cup Halftime Show Odds Drop 44.6pp Despite Whale Buying
YES price for Sabrina Carpenter performing at 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show fell from 83.5% to 38.9%, while whales added $3K net into YES contracts.
Jul 14
Breaking
‘Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?’ YES price drops 55.2 pp amid whale flow divergence
YES contract price plunged from 92.9% to 37.6% in 24 hours while whales increased net buys by $36K, signaling conflicting signals on Polymarket.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Odds Surge 47.5pp to 90.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp price rise, pushing YES contracts from 43.0% to 90.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market Crashes 49.5pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Whales bought $25K of YES contracts even as Polymarket’s price plunged from 68.5% to 19.0% in 24 hours, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Sabrina Carpenter World Cup Halftime Show YES Price Drops 37pp Despite Whale Buying
Polymarket's YES price for Sabrina Carpenter performing at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show fell from 75.6% to 38.9%, while whales increased their net purchases by $3K.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for ‘No Next UK Home Secretary in 2026’ Plunge 42pp to 49.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged as market odds collapsed from 91.5% to 49.5%, signaling sharp reevaluation by traders.
Jul 14