A single trade of $354K to sell contracts on “Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?” marked a significant move in the Brazil vs. Norway market. This transaction was made by wallet 0x2c33…0563, which also sold an additional $350K on the same outcome today. In total, this wallet has executed $2.09M across eight large trades, including purchases of $315K on “Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” and $313K on “Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?” within the same session.
The market itself has seen $14.38M in total volume, with 983 unique whales contributing $4.40M in buys versus $3.21M in sells over the last 24 hours. Notably, this wallet’s selling activity runs counter to the broader whale flow, which has leaned toward buying on this market.
The wallet behind this move ranks #10 on the 30-day trader leaderboard, boasting $7.97M in realized PnL on $238.98M of volume and a lifetime trading volume of $290.20M across 262,845 trades in 3,492 markets. Its resolved-market record shows 62.1% accuracy across 3,423 positions with a Brier score of 0.2217, indicating a consistent performance over time.
This large sell order on Norway’s win, an outcome with relatively low market support given the heavier whale buying, highlights a significant positioning shift by an experienced trader. The divergence between this wallet’s selling and the market’s buying trend adds a layer of complexity to how capital is moving in the Brazil vs.
| Direction | SELL |
|---|---|
| Market | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? |
| Event | Brazil vs. Norway |
| Wallet | 0x2c335066fe58fe9237c3d3dc7b275c2a034a0563 |
| Amount | $354K |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/moves · snapshot 2026-07-05T22:01:07Z. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.