The Polymarket contract asking whether Anthropic’s valuation will reach a high of $2.5 trillion by December 31 saw its YES price climb sharply from 15.5% to 30.5% in the past 24 hours, a 15.0 percentage point increase. This move was accompanied by whale activity that aligned with the price shift, with a net $4K flowing into YES positions.
Whales executed $10K in buy volume against $6K in sell volume across 20 unique whale traders, signaling sustained buying pressure behind the price advance. Total 24-hour volume on the market was $8K, contributing to a lifetime market volume of $141K from 247 unique traders.
Notably, the Polymarket Breaking YES price of 30.5% contrasts with the Polydata on-chain mid-price of 15.5%, indicating a divergence between the real-time market sentiment and the broader on-chain pricing data. However, the whale flows confirm the recent price acceleration rather than contradict it.
The combined surge in price and whale buying activity points to a meaningful shift in market expectations for this high-stakes prediction.
| Market | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2299953 |
| 24h price change | +15.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 30.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 15.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 15.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $4K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $10K / $6K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 20 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $8K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 247 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-10. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.