A $300K buy order landed on the “LoL: Anyone’s Legend vs Karmine Corp – Game 1 Winner” market, marking the largest single trade on Polymarket in the past 24 hours. This wager contrasts sharply with the market-implied probability of 0.05% for that outcome, making it a significant bet against the consensus and on a longshot result.
The trade came from wallet 0xcd30…f316, which also placed a $49K buy on “LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 – Game 1 Winner” earlier, bringing its total investment across two large Esports bets today to $349K. This activity represents a sizable portion of market volume, which stands at $1.27M overall.
Wallet 0xcd30…f316 has a strong track record, boasting 77.5% accuracy across 40 resolved positions and a Brier score of 0.1739, supported by a lifetime volume of $5.44M over 3,564 trades in 45 markets. This profile suggests the trader has substantial experience and a history of successful calls.
Notably, this $300K purchase joins a broader whale buying trend in the market, where $954K was bought versus $227K sold in the past 24 hours by 341 unique whales. The flow signals a significant concentration of capital betting on underdog outcomes in this Esports World Cup Playoffs event.
The size and direction of this trade highlight a rare divergence between a high-volume, proven trader and the prevailing market odds. It underscores the dynamic positioning in the Anyone’s Legend versus Karmine Corp matchup and reflects the appetite among whales for riskier outcomes within Polymarket’s esports markets.
| Direction | BUY |
|---|---|
| Market | LoL: Anyone’s Legend vs Karmine Corp – Game 1 Winner |
| Event | LoL: Anyone’s Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) – Esports World Cup Playoffs |
| Wallet | 0xcd30f4698c6f5f3829893e68e183a8e5ea18f316 |
| Amount | $300K |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/moves · snapshot 2026-07-17T14:07:36Z. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.