The Polymarket contract “Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?” experienced a sharp 19.0 percentage point decline in its YES price over the past 24 hours, dropping from an estimated 63.0% to 44.0%, according to the Polymarket Breaking feed on July 15, 2026.
This steep repricing occurred despite whale traders diverging from the price trend, indicating a net flow away from the YES side that contrasts with the downward price movement. The divergence between whale flow and the tape suggests conflicting signals from large traders compared to overall market sentiment.
Trading volume for this market in the last 24 hours was relatively modest at $6K, signaling limited liquidity amid the significant price move.
This divergence highlights uncertainty or disagreement among market participants about whether Core CPI will hit 0.2% in July. The price action and whale flow together indicate a market in flux rather than a unified directional conviction.
| Market | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2810506 |
| 24h price change | +19.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 44.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 63.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $6K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-15. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.