The probability that a team from LCK (South Korea) will win MSI 2026 jumped 75.9 percentage points in the past 24 hours on Polymarket, soaring from approximately 24.0% to 100.0%. This dramatic revaluation was accompanied by whale activity that aligned with the price movement, as $34K net flowed into YES contracts over the same period.
Whales bought $75K and sold $41K in YES contracts, engaging 353 unique whale traders, while the total 24-hour trading volume on the market reached $57K. The market’s lifetime volume stands at $664K, with 2,258 unique traders participating overall.
Notably, the Polymarket Breaking feed price of 100.0% contrasts with the on-chain Polydata mid-price of 61.0%, indicating a significant divergence between the market price and the underlying on-chain data.
The combined effect of a near-quadrupling of the YES price and consistent whale buying activity signals strong confidence in this outcome among large traders. This alignment between price and whale flow confirms the market’s rapid repricing rather than a speculative spike without backing.
| Market | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 1494695 |
| 24h price change | +75.9 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 100.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 24.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 61.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $34K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $75K / $41K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 353 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $57K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 2,258 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-12. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.