The market on “Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?” saw the YES price climb sharply by 16.3 percentage points over 24 hours, rising from an estimated 83.5% to 99.8% as of July 19, 2026. This dramatic repricing signals a near-consensus expectation that Sulyok will leave office by the specified date.
Whale activity confirmed the price move, with 58 unique whales contributing a net $14K inflow into YES contracts during the same period. Whale buy volume stood at $41K, surpassing sell volume of $27K, reinforcing the bullish tape. Polymarket’s total 24-hour volume on this market was $38K, reflecting strong trading interest relative to its lifetime volume of $227K.
The alignment between whale flows and the price surge suggests that large traders are backing the market’s growing confidence. With 481 unique traders involved over the market’s lifetime, this concentrated whale buying supports the sharp upward move rather than contradicting it.
This combined price and whale flow picture points to a robust shift in market sentiment toward the outcome that Tamas Sulyok will be out as President of Hungary by the end of July. The near-100% YES price reflects a strong consensus reinforced by significant whale participation.
| Market | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2698250 |
| 24h price change | +16.3 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 99.8% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 83.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 99.8% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $14K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $41K / $27K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 58 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $38K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 481 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-19. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.