Whales
$778K Bet on Spain’s 2026 World Cup Win Defies 59.2% Market Odds
A single wallet placed the largest trade on Polymarket in 24 hours, backing Spain despite market-implied probabilities.
Jul 19
#%sworld-cup-2026
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 5 stories.
Whales
$804K bet defies 0.05% odds on England to win 2026 World Cup
Top-20 trader @BreakTheBank places $1.34M in three large bets including $804K against market consensus on England’s 2026 World Cup chances
Jul 15
Whales
Whale buys $291K on Spain to win 2026 World Cup at 58.1% market probability
A single wallet moved $476K today on Spain’s 2026 World Cup win market, aligning with broader whale buying despite the market’s moderate implied chance.
Jul 15
Whales
$281K Buy on Morocco in World Cup 2026 Defies 3.0% Market Odds
A trader with 77.3% accuracy backs Morocco to win the World Cup, pushing against the market consensus and joining strong whale buying.
Jul 9
Whales
Whales net $1.32M betting Morocco will win 2026 World Cup as market prices YES at 2.5%
Despite the market pricing Morocco’s 2026 World Cup win at 2.5%, whales have pushed $1.32M net into YES in the last 24 hours, diverging from consensus.
Jul 6