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Messi Golden Ball Odds Skyrocket 50.9pp to 90.9% on Whale Support
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour rise in Messi’s 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market, pushing YES price from 40.0% to 90.9%.
Jul 16
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 4 stories.
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour rise in Messi’s 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market, pushing YES price from 40.0% to 90.9%.
Despite a sharp 27.0 percentage point fall in the contract’s YES price, whale trading moved against the market direction on Polymarket.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 20 percentage point rise in Polymarket’s YES price for a US blockade on Iran by year-end.
Polymarket’s ‘Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?’ contract saw a sharp repricing supported by whale flow, pushing odds from 14.5% to 82%.