Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Iran Gulf military action drops 45.5pp amid whale flow divergence
Despite whales adding $11K net to YES, the market slashed its probability from 79.5% to 34.0% in 24 hours
Jul 16
#%smarket dynamics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2 stories.
Breaking
YES price on Hormuz transit plunges 46.2pp while whales buy $36K into the market
Polymarket’s YES price on 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz drops from 92.7% to 46.5%, diverging sharply from whale buying activity.
Jul 14