The market on whether Kylian Mbappe will be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup jumped sharply, with the YES contract price rising 50.0 percentage points in 24 hours to 92.5%, up from 42.5% a day earlier.
This dramatic repricing was matched by whale activity, which aligned with the price move as $689K net flowed into YES positions. Whale buy volume totaled $1.39M against $701K in sells, reflecting strong demand from large traders. A total of 615 unique whales participated in this buying and selling over the past day.
Polymarket’s total 24-hour volume on this contract reached $1.55M, a significant share of its $6.88M lifetime market volume. The overall pool of unique traders on this market stands at 10,035, indicating broad engagement beyond the largest investors.
The concurrence of a 50.0pp price increase with substantial whale net buying suggests growing conviction among top traders on Mbappe’s scoring prospects at the World Cup. The surge in odds and whale flow together signal a reevaluation of Mbappe’s likelihood as the tournament’s leading scorer.
| Market | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2069638 |
| 24h price change | +50.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 92.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 42.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 92.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $689K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $1.39M / $701K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 615 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $1.55M |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 10,035 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-19. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.