The market on whether Kylian Mbappe will score 10 or more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup surged 79.5 percentage points in 24 hours, jumping from 20.5% to a full 100% as of July 19. This remarkable repricing was accompanied by whale trading activity that moved in tandem with the price shift, confirming the market’s rapid change in consensus.
Over the same 24-hour period, whales contributed a net $5K into YES contracts, with $8K in buy volume against $3K in sell volume. This flow accounted for the majority of the $9K total Polymarket volume recorded during the day. A total of 33 unique whales participated in the market, which has seen $68K in lifetime volume from 162 unique traders.
The alignment of whale buying with the sharp rise in YES price suggests that large traders are backing the new near-certainty that Mbappe will reach the 10-goal mark in this World Cup. The market’s full pricing at 100% reflects a consensus shift that leaves no room for doubt in the prediction market as of this snapshot.
This combination of a dramatic price move and reinforcing whale flow signals a decisive market stance on Mbappe’s World Cup scoring prospects, marking a notable moment in Polymarket’s 2026 FIFA World Cup coverage.
| Market | Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2763246 |
| 24h price change | +79.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 100.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 20.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 100.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $5K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $8K / $3K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 33 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $9K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 162 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-19. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.