Odds that Ferran Torres will score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup surged 84.0 percentage points in the past 24 hours, jumping from 16.0% to 100.0% on Polymarket. This dramatic repricing was accompanied by whale activity that moved in tandem with the price shift, with net whale flow of $2K into YES contracts and a whale buy volume of $7K against $4K in sells.
The market’s 24-hour trading volume stood at $6K, contributing to a lifetime market volume of $16K involving 247 unique traders. Thirty-three unique whales participated in the 24-hour window, underscoring significant interest from large bettors as the market rapidly adjusted its view on Torres’ scoring prospects.
The alignment between whale flow and price movement suggests a consensus shift among major players rather than a divergence between tape and large bets. The near-complete certainty reflected in the 100.0% YES price signals a strong market conviction that Ferran Torres will find the net during the tournament. This convergence of price and whale behavior highlights a decisive moment in market sentiment for this high-profile World Cup outcome.
| Market | Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2380841 |
| 24h price change | +84.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 100.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 16.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 96.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $2K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $7K / $4K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 33 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $6K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 247 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-20. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.