The market for “Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?” saw a sharp repricing on Polymarket, with the YES contract rising 38.8 percentage points in the last 24 hours to 49.6%, up from 10.8% about a day earlier.
This dramatic shift brought the market close to an even split on the outcome, signaling a significant change in trader sentiment. The 24-hour trading volume stood at $28K, contributing to a lifetime volume of $226K and involving 428 unique traders overall.
Whale activity aligned with this price movement, with 72 unique whales participating over the past day. Their net flow into YES contracts was $9K, derived from $18K in buy volume against $9K in sell volume. This steady whale buying supported the market’s sharp upward adjustment.
The market’s close to 50% probability reflects a major shift from the previous low odds, marking a notable moment in Polymarket’s trading dynamics for this question.
| Market | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2673623 |
| 24h price change | +38.8 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 49.6% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 10.8% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 50.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $9K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $18K / $9K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 72 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $28K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 428 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-17. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.