The YES contract for the market “Kash Patel out by December 31?” rose sharply by 19.5 percentage points within 24 hours, climbing from an estimated 36.5% to 56.0% on Polymarket’s Breaking feed.
Whale activity tracked with the price move, with $14K net inflows into YES contracts over the same period. Whale buy volume totaled $25K against $11K in sell volume, spread across 86 unique whales. This buying pressure from large traders supported the price rally.
Despite the surge to 56.0% on Polymarket’s Breaking feed, the Polydata on-chain mid-price remained lower at 40.0%, highlighting a divergence between the live market price and on-chain data.
Overall 24-hour volume on the market was $19K, a notable share of the market’s lifetime volume of $342K. The market has attracted 941 unique traders so far.
This combination of a strong price move alongside confirmed whale buying suggests growing conviction behind the likelihood of Kash Patel exiting by the end of the year. The price and flow alignment underscores active interest and possible momentum in this contract.
| Market | Kash Patel out by December 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 1795655 |
| 24h price change | +19.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 56.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 36.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 40.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $14K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $25K / $11K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 86 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $19K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 941 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-11. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.